Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi warns of an AI bubble, highlighting companies with billions in valuation but no revenue. He criticizes circular financing deals inflating valuations and predicts worsening market conditions. Ghodsi remains optimistic about AI agents, noting their significant use in database creation on Databricks, but sees revenue potential in applications, not commoditized foundation models.

The CEO of $134 billion software analytics firm Databricks has issued a stark warning about the artificial intelligence industry, calling out companies valued at billions of dollars despite having zero revenue.

Speaking at Fortune Brainstorm AI in San Francisco, Ali Ghodsi warned that "companies that are worth, you know, billions of dollars with zero revenue, that's clearly a bubble, right, and it's, like, insane."Ghodsi, who holds a PhD in computer science, said the mood in Silicon Valley has soured significantly. He claimed that even venture capitalists funding the AI frenzy privately acknowledge the market's unsustainable nature, with some telling him they should "just go on a break for, like, six months and come back and it'll be, like, really financially good for me."

Databricks CEO says circular financing deals inflate valuations artificially

The Databricks CEO criticized the circular financing arrangements, saying these types of deals are running afloat across the AI industry, where money flows between the same group of companies in complex loops. While Ghodsi didn't name specific firms, OpenAI exemplifies this trend through its intricate web of deals worth over $1 trillion.OpenAI's arrangements include receiving $13 billion from Microsoft before spending most of it back on Microsoft's cloud computing services, securing $350 million in CoreWeave stock while committing $22 billion to the company for computing power, and signing a $300 billion deal with Oracle to build data centers that OpenAI will then pay roughly the same amount to use.

Most recently, OpenAI obtained a 10% stake in AMD for chips and partnered with investment firm Thrive Holdings, whose parent company Thrive Capital is ironically one of OpenAI's major investors.Rather than viewing the bubble as near its bursting point, Ghodsi predicts conditions will worsen before they improve. "I think like 12 months from now, it'll be much, much, much worse," he said, though he added that current market wobbles represent a healthy signal for CEOs to reassess their strategies.